german election 2009: results and statistics

Introduction:

This post will be updated regularly in the weeks to come
Explanation of the parties: CDU/CSU are the two conservative, christian parties; SPD = social democrats, FDP = liberals, LINKE = left-winged party, GRÜNE = green party

Overall:

1) CDU/CSU: 33.8 (-1.4)
2) SPD: 23.0 (-11.2)
3) FDP: 14.6 (+4.8)
4) LINKE: 11.9 (+3.2)
5) GRÜNE: 10.7 (+2.6)
OTHERS: 6.0 (+2.1)
PIRATES, included in “Others”: 2.1 (+2.1)

Interesting facts:

Only 70% of the German people went to vote (-7%)
CDU/CSU+FDP: 332 / 622 seats (53.38%), a clear majority; it is obvious that our new government did not just win due to the difficult direct mandate system which was declared anti-constitutional a few months back
FDP, LINKE and GRÜNE achieved the best results in the history of their parties, no need to talk about the SPD on the other hand
In this election, the German Bundestag was voted. Oversimplified: they propose bills. The bills then go to the Bundesrat (the second chamber), which is the representation of the 18 German counties; in this chamber, SPD-LINKE-GRÜNE currently have the majority – they might just block laws from our new government

Voter migration:

Prominent politicians in their regions:

Steinmeier (SPD) won his region with 32.8%
Schmidt (SPD) lost (30%, -9%)
Guttenberg (CSU) 68.1% (!)
Cem Özdemir (GRÜNE) – a very prominent member of the green party – was not able to win his region, and is therefor not going to go to parliament (29.9%)
Wieczorek-Zeul (SPD) lost her direct mandate with 32.6%
Zensursula (CDU – she’s the bad one!) lost her region, unfortunately she’ll get into parliament because she has a top spot on the list regarding the second votes
Westerwelle (FDP) only received 19.1% of the votes
Steinbrück (SPD) lost his region with 33.8%
Gysi (LINKE) won a direct mandate (44.7%), Berlin Treptow-Köpenick
Schäuble (CDU – as bad as Zensursula really) won with 47.2% (I just can’t believe this…)
Ströbele (GRÜNE) defended his direct mandate with 46.8% in Berlin Friedrichshein-Kreuzberg-Prenzlauer Berg Ost
Merkel (CDU): 49.3% (+8%)
Gabriel (SPD): 44.9%, people seem to have liked his anti-nuclear-power campaign
Jung (CDU): he actually won his region with 36.3% (it was very close, though)

Pirate Party:

The Pirate Party achieved 2.1% of the votes – this is an amazing result, with nearly 1.000.000 voters (keep in mind that the green party received only 1.5% in their first election 1980)
The Pirate Party received 13% of the male first-time voters, and 9% of the 18-24 year olds
Pirates in Berlin: 3.4%
Karlsruhe, Aachen, Augsburg, Rostock, Braunschweig and Halle: >3.0%

Berlin Neukölln:

Stefanie Vogelsang (CDU) won with 30.8%, Fritz Felgentreu (SPD) scored second with 27.3% and is not going to go to parliament
In an Email to me Felgentreu predicted it would be rather close – he was right.
Both politicians received around 5% more than their parties in Neukölln got (via the second vote), showing that people actually voted tactically; I’d assume middle-left voters (GRÜNE, LINKE, PIRATES) gave their first vote to the SPD politican, and conservative (FDP) voters gave it to Stefanie Vogelsang
Pirates in Neukölln: 3.3%

September 28th, 2009

3 Responses to “german election 2009: results and statistics”

Franz
September 28th, 2009 at 22:31

Thanks for all the interesting numbers. I am also astonished by Guttenberg’s result which is clear evidence how media love and journalists’ inability to research joined with symbolic politics can form an admirable result. Concerning Munich it is notable that the CSU won clearly over the SPD (http://www.muenchen.de/Rathaus/politik/bundestagswahl2009/bu_wahl/348673/index.html). In local politics it’s the other way round: Munich has a very solid SPD mayor. SPD voters do not trust the SPD anymore. They need to renew the party completely.

Pirates 2,4% in Munich. Congratulations for the good result. Greens achieved 17,5% here!

I have conducted my own analysis at my blog. I’d be happy to hear your voter analysis (why people voted for one party or another) here or there =)
E.
September 29th, 2009 at 18:38

Guttenberg had 8% more than 4 years ago – and to be honest I completely support his decision regarding helping big companies who screwed up (and totally oppose Steinmeier and the reaction of the SPD there). But that’s about it.

Very interesting to see that CSU > SPD in Munich. We haven’t had this in a long time. Last time I voted in Munich Greens had over 40% in Haidhausen, by the way :) …
revelation of silence » Blog Archive » b90> social democrats
October 7th, 2010 at 12:02

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